In
a recent article,1
the political scientist, John Mueller, gives us an update, of sorts,
on the ideas contained in a provocative essay published in 1989.
Francis Fukuyama claimed, those many years ago, “the end of
history.” Of course, this pronouncement was meant to gain our
attention – so he did, at least among the scholarly community. The
article coincided with the tearing down of the Berlin Wall and the
downfall of communism. Fukuyama was not arguing that that point in
time marked the end of things happening – things we would consider
history – but his claim was based on a Hegelian notion of history
marching by the drum of ideological conflicts (thesis vs. antithesis:
old organizing idea vs. new organizing idea). He saw that, with the
fall of communism, our collective experience on the planet was at the
point that such an advancement had come to an end. Mueller asks the
question: was Fukuyama right?
With
this posting, I want to begin presenting a number of pieces that will
review this concern that Mueller presents, and comment. I will do
this because in this blog I have been very critical of the dominance
of the natural rights construct – the mental view associated with
pure liberalism2.
I might have given the impression that my antagonism is deep seated
in the sense that I find nothing meritorious with this view; this
despite my effort early on to put my opinion in a more moderate
context. The Mueller article provides an opportunity to further
elucidate and more clearly express how I think a federalist should
view the prevailing construct. Spoiler alert: the concern is more
one of degree in my disfavor rather than one of profound rejection.
To
further state Fukuyama's argument, he saw liberalism – belief in
democracy/market capitalism – as the last ideology standing. He
gives reasons for its longevity. In terms of democracy, the
political component of liberalism, he points out that by 1945 the
states run under democratic rule had been tested and revised to
become a highly workable system. After 1975, it had spread to all of
Western Europe with the conversion of fairly authoritarian states in
Greece, Portugal, and Spain. With the fall of communism, Eastern
Europe made a stunning move toward democracy, while in Africa many
states moved in that direction, predominately South Africa, but
others as well, e. g., Botswana. In the '90s, the largest Muslim
nation became democratic, Indonesia. Mueller summarizes this
development as follows:
Democracy
is a governmental form, generally compatible with a vigorous and
productive society, that functions rather well when people manage, on
average, to be no better than they actually are or are ever likely to
be: flawed, grasping, self-centered, prejudiced, and easily
distracted. That is, democracy does not require a great deal from
people; they do not need to be particularly good or noble, but merely
to calculate their own best interests or, if so moved, to peacefully
express them. There are, however, no guarantees that anyone will
listen.3
Who
knew? The secret to democracy is having a nation of unrequited
complainers. According to Mueller, there is no need for exceptional
cultural dispositions – “democratization” is not necessary.
This goes in opposition to the “Third Wave” literature headed by
Samuel Huntington. Mueller points out that democracy has spread
without substantial economic growth or force. People merely have to
be ready to accept a system that allows them to complain peacefully
and elites to come around to the idea that democratic rule, in the
public sector, is the best way to handle the issues of the political
world.
As
for capitalism, despite predictions from very insightful thinkers –
from Marx to Schumpeter predicting some form of socialism to triumph
– again, this mode of “doing business” seems to be the most
viable, the most productive. Heilbroner is quoted as commenting:
“... a market system of some kind will constitute their [socialist
economists] principal means of coordination.”4
As with democracy, capitalist states vary and nowhere is there a
pure form of the economic system. As such, there are ongoing
controversies: perceived antagonism between growth and wealth
distribution, need for and extent of regulation, role and rights of
labor, etc. But these are “matters of degree” arguments. We see
the attachment for the market model in times of crises. While
changes are made, as after the most recent crisis, you don't see
fundamental changes. We have come to the point that we don't consider
trade restrictions, wage and price controls, confiscatory taxes on
the rich, or nationalizing “too big to fail” corporations. And
challenging movements, such as Occupy Wall Street, are mostly
impotent. Our current state of affairs is that even in nations that
are not so democratic, Russia and China, the capitalist mode of
operating is very much in place. But when combined with some form of
democracy – liberalism – we see it not only as prevailing
globally, but also as the direction the world is moving toward in
even greater numbers in the future.
Gone
are the days of feudalism, fascism, and communism. Today, we have a
growing liberalism or some form of authoritarian rule, which is
becoming more and more scarce. I consider liberated federalism a
view ensconced within liberalism – a form of it. While the natural
rights view is a more pure form of it, it places, for a federalist,
too much emphasis on the individual. Liberated federalism does not
abandon the notion of a strong individual, but defines the liberty of
the single citizen more in line with the obligations of the compact,
solidifying them to the whole, as more binding. It shifts emphasis
from the ideal of being free to do whatever one wants as long as one
does not hurt others, to a liberty more in line with the admonition
of being free to do what one should do to advance societal welfare.
As such, laws, under this view, should encourage this form of freedom
– as the Affordable Care Act does and the other laws we have from
the New Deal and Great Society legacies. Free to act as one should
does not call for force to implement; it calls for persuasion and
modeling. And when coercion of some form is needed, a conclusion
arrived at reluctantly, then liberated federalism calls for
gradualism – an easing into change. I know that these laws are
often not initially popular. After all, we live in a time of natural
rights thinking. But, if these programs are, in effect, good for the
society, the majority of that society will benefit from their effects
and, eventually, become popular – look at Social Security and
Medicare.
Yes,
I agree mostly with Mueller: Fukuyama was correct; history, as he
defined it, might very well be over. The current concerns over
Russia's moves in the Ukraine give us pause. But this is not a
battle of ideologies as such; it is reflective of one of the
challenges liberalism faces today, not from other ideologies, but
from more practical ambitions of nationalism, as in Ukraine, and
fundamentalism – in those areas of the world not yet converted to
liberalism. These will be addressed in future postings.
1Mueller,
J. (2014). Did history end? Assessing the Fukuyama thesis.
Political Science Quarterly,
129 (1), Spring, pp. 35-54.
2The
term, liberalism, refers not to the position on the political
spectrum we associate with progressives and the mainstream of the
Democratic Party. Instead, it refers to the philosophic position
which, as this posting will describe, is a belief in democratic
principles and capitalism.
3Op
cit. Mueller, p. 38.
4Ibid.,
p. 38.