A Crucial Element of Democracy

This is a blog by Robert Gutierrez ...
While often taken for granted, civics education plays a crucial role in a democracy like ours. This Blog is dedicated to enticing its readers into taking an active role in the formulation of the civics curriculum found in their local schools. In order to do this, the Blog is offering a newer way to look at civics education, a newer construct - liberated federalism or federation theory. Daniel Elazar defines federalism as "the mode of political organization that unites separate polities within an overarching political system by distributing power among general and constituent governments in a manner designed to protect the existence and authority of both." It depends on its citizens acting in certain ways which Elazar calls federalism's processes. Federation theory, as applied to civics curriculum, has a set of aims. They are:
*Teach a view of government as a supra federated institution of society in which collective interests of the commonwealth are protected and advanced.
*Teach the philosophical basis of government's role as guardian of the grand partnership of citizens at both levels of individuals and associations of political and social intercourse.
*Convey the need of government to engender levels of support promoting a general sense of obligation and duty toward agreed upon goals and processes aimed at advancing the common betterment.
*Establish and justify a political morality which includes a process to assess whether that morality meets the needs of changing times while holding true to federalist values.
*Emphasize the integrity of the individual both in terms of liberty and equity in which each citizen is a member of a compacted arrangement and whose role is legally, politically, and socially congruent with the spirit of the Bill of Rights.
*Find a balance between a respect for national expertise and an encouragement of local, unsophisticated participation in policy decision-making and implementation.
Your input, as to the content of this Blog, is encouraged through this Blog directly or the Blog's email address: gravitascivics@gmail.com .
NOTE: This blog has led to the publication of a book. The title of that book is TOWARD A FEDERATED NATION: IMPLEMENTING NATIONAL CIVICS STANDARDS and it is available through Amazon in both ebook and paperback versions.

Friday, January 8, 2021

UNDEMOCRATIC FEATURES HURTING THE LEFT

 

[Note:  From time to time, this blog issues a set of postings that summarize what the blog has been emphasizing in its previous postings.  Of late, the blog has been looking at various obstacles civics educators face in teaching their subject.  It’s time to post a series of such summary accounts.  The advantage of such summaries is to introduce new readers to the blog and to provide a different context by which to review the blog’s various claims and arguments.  This and upcoming summary postings will be preceded by this message.]

 

The last couple of postings reviewed how the right of center advocates are facing disadvantages and how, in turn, many of these citizens’ cherished beliefs or attitudes are being, at least in their eyes, threatened.  But the right of center community is not the only faction feeling these disadvantages.  The left also finds that its positions and policy choices are not being given fair hearing.  The reasons for this are the topic of this posting and those reasons further explain what is fueling the polarized politics of today.

          Victimized by these features is the Democratic Party.  That party has suffered from undemocratic provisions of this nation’s constitutional arrangement.  These features, as a consequence, favor the Republican Party.  In addition, they undermine what the system claims to be, that is a democracy.

          When one questions such a basic attribute, one needs to define his/her terms.  By democracy this writer means a political system that exhibits two political qualities.  One, it depends ultimately on the people deciding what direction its governmental policies will take – usually through the decisions made by the people’s representatives.[1]  And two, in choosing those representatives each citizen has an equal voice or, as the old adage goes, one man/woman, one vote.

          Probably the feature that attracts the most attention is the reliance on the Electoral College to choose the nation’s president.  It becomes most relevant every four years when that selection is made.  Under the above standard of equal voice, the people would select the president in a straight popular winner-take-all voting system.  But the Electorate College, for reasons not necessary to review here (given how much press it gets), does allow for the vote-getting loser to win the election as was the case in 2000 and 2016.[2]

And since states with the highest urban populations tend to be of urban character in politics and other social realms, this structurally hurts liberally biased citizens.  But structural bias does not end with the Electoral College.  One political scientist who has looked into this is Jonathan Rodden. [3] 

His research points out that in his review of US House elections since 2012 to 2019, Democratic candidates received 1.4 million more votes than their Republican opponents, yet Democrats only secured 45% of the seats of those various Congresses.  And since 2002, this imbalanced result has happened more often than not.  As a matter of fact, for Democrats to win a Congress majority, they need to win overwhelmingly at the polls.  And this undemocratic result also happens at the state level where Democrats, on a regular basis, are underrepresented, compared to how people vote in state legislature elections.

Why?  The usual cited reason is gerrymandering.  That is the conscious drawing of representation districts so that one party, the Republican Party, is benefited over the other, the Democratic Party.  Given that Democratic support tends to be concentrated in urban areas, this factor causes Democratic voters to be “bunched” geographically.  This allows for those who control state legislatures – often Republicans – to draw district lines purposefully to maintain their advantages.  Those lines are drawn every ten years and they rely on the census data that is collected in years ending in zero, e.g., 2020.

But Rodden’s research, while acknowledging the effect of gerrymandering, points out a surprising finding.  It turns out that this undemocratic result is not unique to the US.  When surveying various democratic systems, this underrepresentation of urban areas – or over representation of rural areas – affects all British derived systems.  That is, the systems of Great Britain and all of the former colonized areas of British rule – e.g., Australia, New Zealand, Canada. 

All of these systems have majoritarian, district elections.  Those elections select one representative per district and that person is the candidate who wins the majority of votes in the respective district.  That can be compared to continental European elections where the selections of representatives are not winner-take-all affairs. 

There, the districts are larger, and voters elect a slate of representatives reflecting which of them received the most votes.  For example, if a district is to have three representatives, the top three vote getters each win a seat.  The result, therefore, is that winners represent more than just the majority of voters of a district; they represent the nation-wide majority.

This writer has thought of another solution.  That would be the creation of a fourth branch of government; one that would be charged with all aspects regarding elections in the national government – perhaps states could have the same comparable branch at their level.  The members of that branch would run elections, draw district lines, determine winners, and, to promote the democratic quality of the system, encourage participation. 

How the officials are chosen can be thought out so as to minimize partisan drives or motivations that those fourth branch officials might have.  Short of that, perhaps these functions could be assigned to the courts instead of the legislatures.  There are several problems, though, with judges making these decisions.

One, in states, judges are mostly elected and would probably have motivations to treat these functions in a more partisan way.  Two, judges are already busy enough with the law.  And three, these functions deserve their own expertise, i.e., people handling elections call for specialized knowledge having little to do with the intricacies of laws, per se.  Therefore, this overall function deserves its own independent branch along with the legislative, executive, and judicial branches.



[1] This definition is a bit informal.  A true democracy doesn’t have representatives but holds large assemblages in which all citizens are invited to attend and express their wishes over proposed policies.  Some call that a direct democracy as was the case in ancient Athens.  Once representatives are instituted, one has a republic or democratic republic.  Given the impracticality of having a direct democracy in a polity the size of nation, like the US, the term democracy is readily used to describe what the US has.

[2] Okay, a quick review:  The Electoral College, that elects the president, is made up of state delegations of “electors” that usually allocates all its votes to the candidate who wins the popular vote in the state from which the delegation emanates.  Problem is that the number of each state’s electors is made up of the total number of representatives that state has in Congress:  that’s two senators (no matter how large that state’s population is) and the number of House representatives which is based on population, but each has at least one elector (no matter how small that state’s population is). 

This provision can distort the national popular vote sufficiently in that the candidate who does not win the popular vote can win a majority in the Electoral College and with that, the White House.  It’s rare, but it has happened too often, for some.

[3] Jonathan Rodden, Why Cities Lose:  The Deep Roots of the Urban-Rural Political Divide (New York, NY:  Basic Books, 2019).  The argument and evidence shared in this posting on this issue is derived from Rodden’s book.

 

Tuesday, January 5, 2021

FURTHER DEMOGRAPHICS

 

[Note:  From time to time, this blog issues a set of postings that summarize what the blog has been emphasizing in its previous postings.  Of late, the blog has been looking at various obstacles civics educators face in teaching their subject.  It’s time to post a series of such summary accounts.  The advantage of such summaries is to introduce new readers to the blog and to provide a different context by which to review the blog’s various claims and arguments.  This and upcoming summary postings will be preceded by this message.]

 This blog in its last posting offered a hypothesis – or really a set of hypotheses – that various segments of the US populous feel and are apt to express being threatened.  Why?  Because they see how the changing demographics of the nation is causing shifts in the political sentiments and those changes are going against their beliefs and are being overwhelmed.  Here is the statement that posting shared with the reader: 

… [F]or those voters who are concerned over identity issues, the growth of more recent immigrant population – including first generation Americans – less white-based/traditional religiously affiliated people, and an increase in non-religiously affiliated people, life seems to be becoming more secular, less white, and more urban.  In 1992 the US urban population was 76% and in 2016 it was 82% (82.5% in 2019).[1]  Conservative, white, religiously prone people in the US, one can guess, are feeling more and more threatened.

 Does a review of more granulated demographic data support these general contentions?

          Along with the Pew report[2] that the previous posting utilized – published in 2016 – there is another Pew report[3] that was published in 2018 that looks in more detail at how the electorate feels about various issues in relation to a list demographic categories.  While this report was not meant to address what the previous article stated, one can make various commonsensical connections.

          This 2018 report uses the factor of community type or, as this writer refers to it, locality, to organize its findings.  The report sees locality – whether respondents to the report’s survey questions live in urban, suburban, or rural areas – as being an organizing factor about how people feel about the issues the survey addresses.  The issues are immigration, Trump (as a political figure), same-sex marriage, abortion rights, marriage (as an institution), race, and gender equity.

          Here is a listing of its findings:

 ·       Urban areas are heavily populated by Democratic or Democratic leaning people (62%), and rural areas are increasingly Republican (54%).  Suburbanites fall in between urban and rural areas, (47% Democratic or Democratic leaning vs. 45% Republican or Republican leaning) with a slight bias toward the Democratic Party.

·       61% of urban dwellers support legal abortion rights versus 41% of rural people doing so.  Locality does not affect this distribution of support or disfavor for abortion rights in that liberals support women having the right and conservatives do not across the three community types. 

·       Urban voters feel more strongly that the economic system unfairly favors the powerful, much more than rural people do.  But, again, controlling for party, the numbers breakdown with Democrats agreeing more strongly than Republicans regardless of whether the respondents live in urban or rural areas.

·       51% feel very cold toward Trump (as a political figure), 8% somewhat cool, 10% neutral, 9% somewhat warm, and 22% very warm.  Trump is seen more positively (warm or very warm) in rural areas (56%) and coolest (as in unapproachable) in urban areas (46%). 

·       In rural areas, younger respondents, at a much lower rate, judged Trump warmly than older respondents (44% vs. 66%).  In other age groups, judgements toward Trump reflected party affiliation numbers – Republicans saw him warmly, Democrats not so much.

·       In terms of the increases that non-white people represent in the population, Republicans find such a change to be negative, and Democrats are positive in comparable percentages as those relating to how people feel about Trump.  That is, those who see the President warmly see non-white population growth negatively and those who see him negatively on the warmth scale find non-white growth positively.

·       Rural Republicans tend to see same-sex marriage legalization as a bad thing (as high as 71% in rural areas); Democrats tend to see it positively (as high as 78% in suburban areas).

·       Democrats tend to see immigrants as strengthening America (as high as 81% in suburban areas) and Republicans see immigrants as threatening America (as high as 78% in rural areas).

·       51% of whites do not believe whites receive benefits that are deprived to blacks while 77% of blacks do see whites receiving them.  Locality does affect this perception; rural areas tend more to not see advantages for whites while urban areas are more prone to see them.  Consequently, Republicans don’t see these advantages (e.g., 72% in suburban areas).  Whether one does or not, numbers run consistently with conservative areas not seeing it and liberal areas seeing it.

·       Generally, across localities, younger Americans hold more liberal, Democratic Party views, older Americans hold conservative, Republican Party views.

While the two Pew reports this blog cites concerning current political divisions among Americans do not contradict each other, they are not carbon copies of each other.  The second is more detailed, but the first gives a more holistic sense of what is out there.  Neither one proves what is causing polarized politics in America today, but they do commonsensically give the reader a good sense about why and how it exists.  They do reflect a range of beliefs and attitudes one can relate to conditions leading some voters to being threatened.

That is, they find rural people to be conservative or urban voters to be on the liberal side of contested issues.  Suburban people are between but with a liberal bias.  This division indicates rural areas are Republican areas of strength, urban areas are Democratic areas of strength.  The reports give one real insights in how the nation breaks down demographically in terms of politics and those terms are changing in a threatening way to those who fall right of center.



[1] See “Urban Population (% of Total Population) – United States,”  The World Bank, n.d., accessed December 30, 2020, https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS?end=2019&locations=US&start=1978 .

[2] “1.  The Changing Composition of the Political Parties,”  The Pew Research Center (September 13, 2016), accessed August 31, 2020, https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2016/09/13/1-the-changing-composition-of-the-political-parties/ .

[3] Kim Parker, Juliana Menasce Horowitz, Anna Brown, Richard Fry, D’Vera Cohn, Ruth Igielnik, “2.  Urban, Suburban and Rural Residents’ Views on Key Social and Political Issues, Pew Research Center:  Social and Demographic Trends (May 22, 2018), accessed January 1, 2021, https://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2018/05/22/urban-suburban-and-rural-residents-views-on-key-social-and-political-issues/ .